Biological Feasibility of Introducing Bighorn Sheep to the Jicarilla Apache Nation

The biological feasibility of introducing Rocky Mountain bighorn sheep (Ovis canadensis canadensis) to the Dulce area of the Jicarilla Apache Nation (JAN) depends on availability and condition of potential habitat and the potential for disease risk, as pneumonia is the largest current threat to wild sheep populations. We modeled quality and quantity of potential bighorn sheep habitat incorporating the three most recent fire scars around Dulce, determined potential winter range within preferred habitat, assessed on the ground vegetation characteristics, and examined potential for disease transmission via risk of contact with domestic sheep and goats. Most of the area of interest for this study has a suitability value ≥ 50%, with approximately 23-29% of the study area considered preferred, or high-quality habitat for bighorn sheep. High-quality habitat for Rocky Mountain bighorn sheep is defined as being within 300 m of escape terrain, within 1.6 km of water, and containing ≤ 30% shrub and tree cover. Of this, approximately 43-56% of potential preferred habitat qualifies as winter range, which is mostly concentrated in the narrow valley bottoms where roads are commonly located and the south-facing slopes surrounding valleys. Analysis of field-collected vegetation data indicates most of the existing forage within the surveyed area to be of moderate or high forage value to bighorn sheep, but horizontal visibility, predominantly in the form of shrubs, is more obscured than what bighorn sheep prefer for most of the area of interest. Maximum shrub and tree cover is also the most limiting factor in the suitability model, primarily due to the prevalence of dense shrub regeneration, particularly Gambel oak, which occurs after high severity burns. The largest quantities of high-quality potential bighorn sheep habitat within the study area occur in unburned areas or those burnt by the predominantly low-moderate severity Amargo fire in 2021. Relative to risk of contact with domestic sheep and goats that can transmit lethal pneumonia-causing pathogens, potentially causing an introduction effort to fail, there is high risk because of the proximity to two hobby-subsistence herds (< 3 km away).